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Why Did Oracle's Earnings for the Second Quarter Miss?

Oracle surprised its shareholders this week by falling short of analysts’ expectations in its fiscal 2025 second-quarter financial results. However, analysts suggest the real focus lies in the company’s ongoing strategic transformation.

Oracle reported a 24 percent increase in earnings per share, with total revenue climbing 9 percent to $14.1 billion. The growth was largely driven by advancements in its cloud infrastructure segment.

Rebecca Wettemann, CEO of industry analyst firm Valoir, highlighted the significance of Oracle’s progress in cloud infrastructure. “While Oracle remains smaller than AWS, Google, and Microsoft in this space, its growth is notable,” Wettemann said, pointing out that Oracle’s deeper relationships with customers provide a competitive edge against hyperscalers who mainly focus on cloud infrastructure.


Oracle


The company’s management expressed satisfaction with its performance. Oracle CEO Safra Catz noted, “Record AI demand pushed Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenue up 52 percent in the second quarter, outpacing all our hyperscale competitors.” She added that GPU consumption had soared by 336 percent, driven by Oracle’s deployment of a supercomputer featuring 65,000 NVIDIA H200 GPUs.

Despite these achievements, Oracle’s stock took a hit in after-hours trading on Dec. 9 and the morning of Dec. 10. Even so, its shares remain 80 percent higher for the year, suggesting the drop may reflect profit-taking rather than serious investor concerns.

Sidharth Ramsinghaney, director of strategy and operations at Twilio, described Oracle’s performance as a reflection of its strategic evolution. While the company reported a significant 52 percent growth in its cloud infrastructure segment, reaching $2.4 billion, overall growth has begun to slow, he observed.

“This creates both opportunities and challenges as Oracle transitions from a traditional database company to a major player in cloud and AI services,” Ramsinghaney said. He emphasized that the real story lies in Oracle’s evolving role in the market.

Ramsinghaney also pointed out that cloud services now make up 77 percent of Oracle’s total revenue ($10.81 billion), indicating a successful business model transformation. However, the slowing growth rates signal the natural hurdles of scaling up.

Oracle’s strategic partnership with Meta, focusing on AI model development using Meta’s Llama models, underscores this transformation. Larry Ellison, Oracle’s chairman and CTO, stated, “Oracle Cloud Infrastructure powers many leading generative AI models because it is faster and more cost-effective than competitors. Our partnership with Meta to develop AI Agents based on Llama models is a key step in this direction.”

Despite these developments, Wall Street remains cautious, reacting negatively to Oracle’s projection of 7 to 9 percent revenue growth for the next quarter, which fell short of market expectations. Ramsinghaney identified three critical areas for Oracle’s future success: the execution of its AI infrastructure strategy, differentiation in a crowded cloud market, and converting its extensive enterprise customer base to cloud and AI services.

“This is more than a story about quarterly financials; it’s about Oracle’s transformation into a major cloud and AI player,” Ramsinghaney said, noting that maintaining momentum in the highly competitive AI market will be challenging.

Rebecca Wettemann echoed this sentiment, emphasizing the importance of providers demonstrating their unique value in the evolving AI landscape. “As businesses move from the fear of missing out (FOMO) to the fear of messing up (FOMU) phase in adopting generative AI, Oracle and others must clearly explain their value and deliver sustainable results,” she said.

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